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Fed not cutting rates would be a headwind to Asian markets: UBS
  + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed not cutting rates would be a headwind to Asian markets: UBSHartmut Issel, head Asia-Pacific equities and credit at UBS Global Wealth Management, says, however, that his base case is that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interests rates twice this year, starting in September.
Persons: UBS Hartmut Issel Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, U.S . Federal Locations: Asia, Pacific
Billions in federal subsidies for semiconductor manufacturers are expected to help reverse a decades-long decline in America’s share of global chip manufacturing. As a result, America’s share of world chip manufacturing is expected to rise for the first time in decades, to 14 percent by 2032, up from about 10 percent today. The report found that much of the industry’s growth would be fueled by the bipartisan CHIPS Act, which gave the Commerce Department $39 billion to encourage semiconductor manufacturing in the United States. Absent that legislation, America’s share of global chip manufacturing would have fallen to 8 percent by 2032, according to the report. The United States is also expected to see a substantial boost in the domestic production of advanced logic chips, which are used in artificial intelligence, smartphones and autonomous vehicles.
Persons: Biden Organizations: Semiconductor Industry Association, Boston Consulting Group, Commerce Department Locations: United States
Bank of America says do not sell in May and go away
  + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Investors should ignore the adage about selling off equities in May as a big preelection summer rally could be coming, according to Bank of America. "Do not sell in May and go away," Stephen Suttmeier, the firm's technical research strategist, told clients in a Tuesday note. He pointed to the fact that June through August has been the second strongest three-month stretch for the S & P 500 for all years since 1928. In those three months alone, the broad market index has gained 65% of the time with an average return of 3.2%, according to Bank of America data. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD And there's a key factor Suttmeier sees changing the narrative for the better this year: the presidential election.
Persons: Stephen Suttmeier, It's, Jerome Powell, Suttmeier, Williams Organizations: Bank of America, Dow Jones, Federal
Gold prices inch higher on U.S. rate-cut bets, Middle East woes
  + stars: | 2024-05-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
One kilogram gold bullion at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold prices edged higher on Tuesday, steered by bets that the U.S. Federal Reserve would cut interest rates later this year and safe-haven demand for bullion as Gaza ceasefire remains uncertain. Spot gold was up 0.1% at $2,324.75 per ounce, as of 0148 GMT after rising more than 1% in the previous session. Fed Bank of New York President John Williams said on Monday that at some undefined point the U.S. central bank will lower its interest rate target. Lower rates increase the appeal of holding non-interest bearing gold.
Persons: that's, Matt Simpson, John Williams, Simpson, Israel, Heraeus Organizations: Co, U.S . Federal, Index, Fed Bank of New York, Investors, Hamas Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, Gaza, U.S, Palestinian, Rafah
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailValuations in Europe are 'quite compelling' compared with other developed markets: StrategistDavid Chao, global market strategist for Asia-Pacific at Invesco, discusses the outlook for the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy, the Japanese yen, and European markets.
Persons: David Chao Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: Europe, Asia, Invesco, U.S .
Dow Jones Industrial Average futures sat near flat Tuesday night after the blue-chip average clinched its longest winning streak since December. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures also both traded near flat. The Dow ticked higher by nearly 0.1% and posted its fifth positive session, which marks its longest winning run going back to December. The S&P 500 also inched up by about 0.1%, while the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.1%. Nearly 85% of S&P 500 corporations have already shared quarterly results this earnings season.
Persons: Reddit, Dow, Adam Crisafulli, Uber, Philip Jefferson, Susan Collins, Lisa Cook Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Wynn Resorts, Treasury, Disney, Vital, AMC, Traders, Federal, Boston
Look at what's happening in Ukraine. Look at what's happening in the Middle East. Drones have changed modern warfare, public safety, and homeland security forever," Dedrone CEO Aaditya Devarakonda told CNBC on May 6, 2024, the day his startup was acquired by public safety company Axon. Public safety technology company Axon announced Monday that it is acquiring drone defense startup Dedrone. "And you can see what's happening around the world.
Persons: Aaditya Devarakonda, Dedrone, Rick Smith, CNBC's Morgan Brennan, Smith Organizations: Armed Forces, Ukraine, CNBC Locations: Lviv, Ukraine
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. Fed could cut rates twice this year: Deutsche Bank Private BankStefanie Holtze-Jen, Deutsche Bank Private Bank's chief investment officer for Asia-Pacific, discusses the outlook for the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
Persons: Deutsche Bank Private Bank Stefanie Holtze, Jen Organizations: U.S, Deutsche Bank Private Bank, Deutsche Bank Private, U.S . Federal Locations: Asia, Pacific, U.S .
For many in the middle class, inflation is at the heart of this feeling. That's making people feel locked out of many of the milestones long associated with middle-class life. 74% of middle class Americans have cut back on non-essential spending, according to Primerica's survey. 46% of middle-class Americans said they've dialed back or completely paused saving for the future and 38% said they didn't think they could afford an unexpected expense over $1000. Buying a home may be the greatest example of a tenet of middle-class life feeling out of reach for many, and that struggle is very real rather than merely negatively perceived.
Persons: , Vincent, he'd, he's, Eoin Sheehan, Chris Collins, Collins, Jessica, they're, Kayla, Primerica, they've, Sheehan Organizations: Service, Business, Pew Research Center, Redfield & Wilton, Federal, Northwestern Mutual's Collins, Northwestern Mutual, Newsweek, National Association of Realtors Locations: Santa Barbara, California, Alabama, Primerica
A gong inside the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. China Vanke's subsidiary Onewo and EV maker Zhejiang Leapmotor Technology began trading on the Hong Kong market on Thursday. Asia-Pacific markets rose on Friday, tracking Wall Street gains ahead of key U.S. employment data. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect to see 240,000 job gains in the U.S. April nonfarm payrolls report due Friday at 0830a.m. Stock markets in Japan and mainland China were shut for public holidays.
Persons: Dow Jones, nonfarm Organizations: Hong Kong Stock Exchange, China Vanke's, Zhejiang Leapmotor Technology, Apple, Investors, U.S . Federal Reserve, Stock, U.S Locations: China, Hong Kong, Asia, Pacific, U.S, 0830a.m, Taiwan, South Korea, South, Japan
If you were hoping interest rates might come down this spring, you're likely going to have to wait a little bit longer. After more than a decade of near-zero interest rates, savers are now in an environment where they're being rewarded for keeping deposits in the bank. And with interest rates staying at their decades-long high for longer, savers have an extended window to take advantage of everything banks are offering. "We did a study recently and found that very few people are earning even 4% on their savings," Rossman says. Now is a great time to shop around for the most favorable terms and lock in those interest rates while they're here, Rossman says.
Persons: That's, Ted Rossman, Rossman Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Locations: U.S
Investors with cash on the sidelines may want to start moving some of that money into bonds, according to a new report from BlackRock. The bond market has seen some volatility amid the uncertainty around interest rates and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Bond yields move inversely to prices. US10Y YTD mountain 10-year Treasury yields Yields are at levels not seen in 20 years, he pointed out. Aggregate Bond ETF year to date The iShares Core Total USD Bond Market ETF (IUSB) is also a passively managed, broad bond market fund which adds exposure to potentially higher-yielding names.
Persons: Steve Laipply, shouldn't, Laipply Organizations: Federal, Treasury, BlackRock, Fed, Core, Aggregate Bond, Bloomberg U.S, SEC, Aggregate, Bond Locations: BlackRock
Banks jumped 0.8%, while oil and gas stocks retreated 1%. European stocks opened mixed on Thursday as global markets react to the U.S. Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy decision and a slew of corporate earnings. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said it was unlikely that the central bank's next move will be a rate hike. Asia-Pacific markets were mostly higher overnight as traders reacted to the Fed's stance, while U.S. stock futures advanced as investors looked ahead to more corporate earnings due Thursday. Dutch bank ING was 5% higher in early deals after announcing a 2.5 billion euro ($2.7 billion) share buyback.
Persons: Banks, Jerome Powell, It's, Vestas, Hugo Boss Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal, Dow, region's, Novo Nordisk, Shell, ING, AXA, ArcelorMittal Locations: London, U.S ., Asia, Pacific, Europe
CNBC's Inside India newsletter: Will AI make or break India?
  + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +9 min
But one that could foreshadow India's growth story. Can Teleperformance's stock plunge be the canary in the coal mine for what is likely to happen to India because of AI? But it's likely to be a blip for India's growth trajectory, given the macro forces at play. Besides creating jobs that are less likely to be immediately disrupted by AI, India could also be a net beneficiary of artificial intelligence. The Indian stock market indexes, Sensex and Nifty 50 , are heading for a positive week again — up by 1% and 1.2%, respectively.
Persons: Findlay Kember, Klarna, ChatGPT, K Krithivasan, Krithivasan, Narendra Modi, It's, Shilan Shah, Goldman Sachs, Vinay Dwivedi, Ashok Gulati, Nomura, League Pickleball, Karine Jean, Pierre, Jerome Powell, Raghuram Rajan, Ashish Jain, CNBC's Ayushi Jindal Organizations: AFP, Getty, India's Tata Consultancy Services, Financial Times, TCS, World Bank, International Monetary Fund, University of Oxford, Capital Economics, Investment, Nomura, Qualcomm, Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing, UPI, India, Commission, Agricultural, United Pickleball Association, Global Sports, PPA, League, Washington Post, White, U.S ., Federal, CNBC, Reserve Bank of India, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Locations: Swedish, Paris, India, Chennai, U.S, Europe, China, Singapore, South Korea, Canada, United States
An oil pumpjack is pictured in the Permian basin, Loco Hills regions, New Mexico, U.S., April 6, 2023. Oil prices rose on Thursday on the prospect the U.S. may start buying crude for its petroleum reserve, after prices sank to a seven-week low on hopes for an Israel-Gaza ceasefire, doubts about U.S. interest rate cuts and swelling oil inventories. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for June climbed 22 cents, or 0.3%, to $79.22 a barrel. The U.S. aims to replenish its Strategic Petroleum Reserve, or SPR, after a historic sale from the emergency stockpile in 2022 and wants to buy back oil at $79 a barrel or less. Any delay in rate cuts could slow economic growth and dampen demand for oil.
Persons: WTI, Hiroyuki Kikukawa, Kikukawa, Benjamin Netanyahu Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, NS, Nissan Securities, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, U.S, U.S . Energy Information Administration, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: Loco Hills, New Mexico, U.S, Israel, Gaza, Egypt, Israeli, Rafah
An employee works at the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), operated by Japan Exchange Group Inc. (JPX), in Tokyo, Japan, on Thursday, Jan. 13, 2022. Asia-Pacific stock markets were largely lower on Thursday, after the U.S. Federal Reserve opted to hold interest rates steady at the end of its two-day meeting. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ruled out the possibility of a rate hike, easing worries over the central bank likely not being able to rein in inflation. Focus will be on the Japanese yen , which had a volatile start to the week amid suspected government intervention to prop up the currency on Monday. It was last trading at 155.83 against the U.S. dollar.
Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Tokyo Stock Exchange, Japan Exchange Group Inc, U.S . Federal, U.S . Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Pacific
Gold subdued as traders ready for Fed rate verdict
  + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Gold prices struggled for momentum on Wednesday as investors refrained from taking big positions ahead of a U.S. Federal Reserve policy decision that could offer for more cues on its rate-cut timeline. U.S. gold futures were down 0.2% at $2,298.30 per ounce. The Fed is expected to hold its benchmark interest rate steady at 5.25% to 5.5%. Gold is known as an inflation hedge but elevated interest rates reduce the appeal of holding the non-yielding asset. Among other metals, spot silver rose 0.2% to $26.32 per ounce and platinum inched up 0.2% to $935.10.
Persons: Edward Meir, Jerome Powell, Powell, Meir Organizations: U.S, Federal, Focus, Labor, Palladium
The logo of the cryptocurrency Bitcoin (BTC) can be seen on a coin standing in front of a Bitcoin chart. Bitcoin on Wednesday plunged sharply to its lowest level in over two months amid broader risk-off sentiment in markets, as investors kept an eye on the U.S. Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision. Crypto market participants are eyeing the upcoming interest rate decision from the U.S. Federal Reserve. The Federal Open Market Committee is due to meet on Wednesday afternoon to discuss its latest policy on interest rates. Markets have become more shaky lately, as investors fret over the prospect of a longer path toward interest rate cuts.
Persons: Bitcoin, Jerome Powell, Geoff Kendrick, Kendrick, Changpeng Zhao Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: U.S ., CoinGecko, solana, U.S, Hong Kong
The 10-year Treasury yield at one point in April neared 4.75% after starting the year below 4%. The anecdote, coupled with troubling inflation and economic growth data in April, helped push Treasury yields higher. More worrisome Powell commentary Wednesday after the Fed decision could further spike Treasury yields — or perhaps, he will sound confident the Fed still has a handle on inflation and rates will decline in response. However, that climb could run out of steam if Federal Reserve comments on Wednesday force Treasury yields higher. Higher interest rates constrain technology companies' ability to post the type of strong growth the sector has become synonymous with in recent years.
Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, worrisome Powell, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Federal, Tesla, Micro, Treasury
Australian and Japanese markets fell Wednesday as investors brace for the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate decision, due early Thursday in Asia. Investors will also keep an eye on the yen , which saw a volatile start to the week amid suspected intervention on Monday. The currency currently trades around the 157.7 level against the greenback. Most Asian markets are closed on Wednesday due to the Labor Day holiday.
Organizations: U.S, Investors, Labor Locations: U.S . Federal, Asia
Light trading volumes are expected in Europe on Wednesday, with only London's FTSE index open, due to the May Day/Labor Day public holiday in the region. Nonetheless, global markets are focused on the U.S. Federal Reserve's latest interest rate announcement after the central bank's monetary policy committee concludes a two-day meeting later on Wednesday. The latest interest rate decision follows another hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation reading last Friday. S&P 500 futures slipped Tuesday night as investors looked ahead to the Federal Reserve's rate policy decision. In the Asia-Pacific region overnight, Australian and Japanese markets fell as investors braced for the Fed's rate decision.
Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Labor, U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: Europe, U.S ., Asia, Pacific
Hundreds of small and regional banks across the U.S. are feeling stressed. "You could see some banks either fail or at least, you know, dip below their minimum capital requirements," Christopher Wolfe, managing director and head of North American banks at Fitch Ratings, told CNBC. Consulting firm Klaros Group analyzed about 4,000 U.S. banks and found 282 banks face the dual threat of commercial real estate loans and potential losses tied to higher interest rates. "That means there'll be fewer bank failures. For individuals, the consequences of small bank failures are more indirect.
Persons: Christopher Wolfe, They're, Brian Graham, Graham, Sheila Bair Organizations: Fitch, CNBC, Consulting, Klaros, U.S . Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, FDIC Locations: U.S
"DOJ continues to work on this rule," a Biden administration official said. "No one should be jailed for using or possessing marijuana," the president said during the speech. "Reclassifying marijuana as a Schedule III drug sends the message that marijuana is less addictive and dangerous now than ever before. US President Joe Biden speaks during the White House Correspondents' Association (WHCA) dinner at the Washington Hilton, in Washington, DC, on April 27, 2024. Nearly six in ten Americans say that marijuana should be legal for medical and recreational purposes, according to a Pew Research poll last month.
Persons: John Tlumacki, Biden, Joe Bidens, Tom Williams, Joe Biden, Barack Obama's, Jim Cole, Obama, Cole, Kevin Sabet, Brendan Smialowski, Brad Horrigan Organizations: Delta, Trade, Boston Globe, NBC, Drug, Department of Health, Human Services, DOJ, Biden, Internal Revenue, Justice's, DC Marijuana Justice, CQ, Inc, Getty, State, National Cannabis Roundtable, NBC News, Smart, Marijuana, Obama Administration, White, Correspondents ' Association, Washington Hilton, AFP, Management, CRA, Pew Research, Florida Supreme, Tribune, Service Locations: Wareham, deducting, New York, California, Washington ,, Florida
An oil pump jack is seen in the Loco Hills region, New Mexico, U.S., April 6, 2023. Oil edged down in early trade on Tuesday after Israel-Hamas ceasefire talks in Cairo helped quell market fears of an expanded conflict in the Middle East, while worries about the outlook for U.S. interest rates weighed on the market. The delegation was expected to report back within two days, two Egyptian security sources said. On the economic front, investors are on watch this week for the U.S. Federal Reserve's May 1 policy review, with stubborn inflation pushing out market expectations for any rate cuts, which could bolster the U.S. dollar and hamper oil demand. Some investors are cautiously pricing a higher probability that the Fed could hike interest rates by a quarter percentage point this year and next as inflation and the labor market remain resilient.
Persons: Israel, Yemen's, Yahya Sarea Organizations: Brent, U.S . West Texas, Qatari, Suez, MSC Orion, U.S, U.S . Federal, U.S . Locations: New Mexico, U.S, Israel, Cairo, Gaza, Rafah, Iran, U.S .
Elizabeth Frantz | ReutersIt appears the great inflation scare of 2024 is upon us. The Fed's preferred measure of inflation, the core personal consumption expenditures price index, grew 2.8% from a year earlier in March. The recent inflation numbers have reduced the expected number of cuts down to one or two, with the first cut anticipated to arrive much later this year. Some recent signs of cooling emergeCommodity prices, like cocoa , coffee and copper , have been on a tear in 2024. Despite all the military activity in the Middle East, oil prices have been reasonably well behaved, taking into consideration the energy shocks of years past.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Elizabeth Frantz, , specter Organizations: Federal, Committee, Reuters, Fed, Hamas Locations: Washington , U.S, Israel
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